# Trenchonomics — live macro, markets & crypto data

Updated: 2026-09-05T09:24:08.587Z

> This is the complete dataset. Structured JSON (same data + sparkline history): https://www.trenchonomics.com/api/dashboard
> Directions: ▲ rising, ▼ falling. Interpret risk with the indicator's nature (e.g. rising VIX/spreads = risk-off).

## Markets

- **S&P 500**: $770.19 ▼ −0.39% (SPY proxy) — as of 09-04
- **Nasdaq 100**: $718.96 ▲ +0.18% (QQQ proxy) — as of 09-04
- **Russell 2000**: $296.01 ▲ +0.28% (IWM proxy) — as of 09-04
- **VIX**: 14.3 ▼ −0.9 (volatility) — as of 09-03

## Crypto

- **Bitcoin**: $79,697 ▼ −1.64% (7d)
- **Ethereum**: $2,458 ▼ −2.74% (7d)
- **Crypto Market Cap**: $2.71T ▼ −3.11% (total)
- **BTC Dominance**: 59.0%
- **Crypto Fear & Greed**: 73 ▼ −1 (Greed)

## Rates & Fed

- **FOMC Odds**: 51% 25bp hike (Sep 16) — as of Polymarket
- **Fed Funds**: 3.63% → +0 bp (EFFR) — as of 09-03
- **2Y Treasury**: 4.34% ▼ −5 bp — as of 09-03
- **10Y Treasury**: 4.77% ▼ −2 bp — as of 09-03
- **2s10s Spread**: 0.41% ▼ −2 bp (10Y − 2Y) — as of 09-04
- **High-Yield Spread**: 2.65% ▼ −1 bp (OAS) — as of 09-03
- **Fed Balance Sheet**: $6.74T ▲ +0.09% (weekly) — as of 09-02

## Economy

- **CPI Inflation**: 3.5% ▼ −0.19 pp (YoY) — as of Jul
- **Core PCE**: 3.3% ▲ +0.00 pp (YoY) — as of Jul
- **Unemployment**: 4.1% → +0.0 — as of Aug
- **Nonfarm Payrolls**: +162K ▲ +141K vs prior (MoM) — as of Aug
- **Jobless Claims**: 206K ▲ +2 (initial, weekly) — as of 08-29
- **GDP Growth**: 1.5% ▼ −0.6 (QoQ annualized) — as of Apr
- **Consumer Sentiment**: 55.2 ▲ +5.7 (U. Michigan) — as of Jul
- **Retail Sales**: −0.8% ▼ −1.0 pp (MoM) — as of Jul

## Commodities & FX

- **Crude Oil (WTI)**: $91.48 ▲ +5.11% — as of 09-01
- **Natural Gas**: $2.90 → +0.00% (Henry Hub) — as of 09-01
- **Gold**: $4,429 ▼ −0.02% (XAU/USD) — as of 09-05
- **Copper**: $39.95 ▲ +0.10% (CPER proxy) — as of 09-04
- **US Dollar Index**: 118.75 ▲ +0.33% (broad, Fed) — as of 08-28

## Upcoming events (US Eastern)

- 2026-09-10 (approx.) — ECB Rate Decision [global]
- 2026-09-11 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-09-16 14:00 ET — FOMC Rate Decision [fed]
- 2026-09-16 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]
- 2026-09-18 — Quad Witching (opex) [opex]
- 2026-09-24 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q2 (3rd est) [data]
- 2026-09-25 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-10-01 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-10-02 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-10-05 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-10-07 14:00 ET — FOMC Minutes [fed]
- 2026-10-13 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-10-16 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]
- 2026-10-16 — Options Expiry [opex]
- 2026-10-28 14:00 ET — FOMC Rate Decision [fed]
- 2026-10-29 (approx.) — ECB Rate Decision [global]
- 2026-10-29 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q3 (advance) [data]
- 2026-10-30 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-11-02 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-11-04 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-11-06 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-11-12 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-11-16 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]
- 2026-11-18 14:00 ET — FOMC Minutes [fed]
- 2026-11-20 — Options Expiry [opex]
- 2026-11-25 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-11-26 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q3 (2nd est) [data]
- 2026-12-01 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]

---
Sources: FRED, Twelve Data, CoinGecko, Polymarket, alternative.me. Indices via ETF proxies; FRED market series lag ~1 day. Not investment advice.