# Trenchonomics — live macro, markets & crypto data

Updated: 2026-07-21T20:45:15.367Z

> This is the complete dataset. Structured JSON (same data + sparkline history): https://www.trenchonomics.com/api/dashboard
> Directions: ▲ rising, ▼ falling. Interpret risk with the indicator's nature (e.g. rising VIX/spreads = risk-off).

## Markets

- **S&P 500**: $748.20 ▲ +0.82% (SPY proxy) — as of 07-21
- **Nasdaq 100**: $708.73 ▲ +1.82% (QQQ proxy) — as of 07-21
- **Russell 2000**: $296.45 ▲ +1.41% (IWM proxy) — as of 07-21
- **VIX**: 18.7 ▼ −0.1 (volatility) — as of 07-20

## Crypto

- **Bitcoin**: $66,410 ▲ +1.66% (7d)
- **Ethereum**: $1,924 ▲ +1.07% (7d)
- **Crypto Market Cap**: $2.34T ▲ +1.13% (total)
- **BTC Dominance**: 56.8%
- **Crypto Fear & Greed**: 25 ▼ −4 (Extreme Fear)

## Rates & Fed

- **FOMC Odds**: 82% hold (Jul 29) — as of Polymarket
- **Fed Funds**: 3.63% → +0 bp (EFFR) — as of 07-20
- **2Y Treasury**: 4.21% ▲ +3 bp — as of 07-20
- **10Y Treasury**: 4.60% ▲ +5 bp — as of 07-20
- **2s10s Spread**: 0.39% ▲ +2 bp (10Y − 2Y) — as of 07-20
- **High-Yield Spread**: 2.69% ▼ −4 bp (OAS) — as of 07-20
- **Fed Balance Sheet**: $6.74T ▲ +0.11% (weekly) — as of 07-15

## Economy

- **CPI Inflation**: 3.7% ▼ −0.54 pp (YoY) — as of Jun
- **Core PCE**: 3.4% ▲ +0.09 pp (YoY) — as of May
- **Unemployment**: 4.2% ▼ −0.1 — as of Jun
- **Nonfarm Payrolls**: +57K ▼ −72K vs prior (MoM) — as of Jun
- **Jobless Claims**: 208K ▼ −8 (initial, weekly) — as of 07-11
- **GDP Growth**: 2.1% ▲ +1.6 (QoQ annualized) — as of Jan
- **Consumer Sentiment**: 44.8 ▼ −5.0 (U. Michigan) — as of May
- **Retail Sales**: +0.2% ▼ −0.8 pp (MoM) — as of Jun

## Commodities & FX

- **Crude Oil (WTI)**: $79.20 ▲ +9.32% — as of 07-13
- **Natural Gas**: $2.83 ▲ +3.66% (Henry Hub) — as of 07-13
- **Gold**: $4,083 ▲ +1.87% (XAU/USD) — as of 07-21
- **Copper**: $39.52 ▲ +2.86% (CPER proxy) — as of 07-21
- **US Dollar Index**: 120.53 ▲ +0.17% (broad, Fed) — as of 07-17

## Upcoming events (US Eastern)

- 2026-07-23 (approx.) — ECB Rate Decision [global]
- 2026-07-29 14:00 ET — FOMC Rate Decision [fed]
- 2026-07-30 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q2 (advance) [data]
- 2026-07-31 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-08-03 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-08-05 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-08-07 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-08-12 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-08-17 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]
- 2026-08-19 14:00 ET — FOMC Minutes [fed]
- 2026-08-21 — Options Expiry [opex]
- 2026-08-27 (approx.) — Jackson Hole Symposium [fed]
- 2026-08-27 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q2 (2nd est) [data]
- 2026-08-28 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-09-01 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-09-03 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-09-04 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-09-10 (approx.) — ECB Rate Decision [global]
- 2026-09-11 08:30 ET (approx.) — CPI Release [data]
- 2026-09-16 14:00 ET — FOMC Rate Decision [fed]
- 2026-09-16 08:30 ET (approx.) — Retail Sales [data]
- 2026-09-18 — Quad Witching (opex) [opex]
- 2026-09-24 08:30 ET (approx.) — GDP Q2 (3rd est) [data]
- 2026-09-25 08:30 ET (approx.) — Core PCE Release [data]
- 2026-10-01 10:00 ET — ISM Manufacturing PMI [data]
- 2026-10-02 08:30 ET — Nonfarm Payrolls [data]
- 2026-10-05 10:00 ET — ISM Services PMI [data]
- 2026-10-07 14:00 ET — FOMC Minutes [fed]

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Sources: FRED, Twelve Data, CoinGecko, Polymarket, alternative.me. Indices via ETF proxies; FRED market series lag ~1 day. Not investment advice.